Friday, August 21, 2015

Baseball Prospectus Writes Off Red Sox Playoff Hopes

Some 'Pollyannas" will look at the standings and see that the Red Sox are "only" eight games out of the final AL Wild Card spot. But Baseball Prospectus knows better—and has them playing golf in October. In fact, the latest playoff probability for your Carmine Hose stands at 0.2%. That's "zero point two percent" for the cipher-impaired. Their negative 'Magic Numbers' are depressing as well—just 30 for elimination from the division and 34 for exclusion from the Wild Card. Of course, those of us who have watched this team know that the likelihood of them making the playoffs is roughly equal to Massachusetts gambling casinos being a net positive to the state's economy. In other words, not bloody likely.