Wednesday, March 25, 2015

Simulator Projects Mariners Over Sox In ALCS

Probably Just As Accurate is a game simulation site that touts itself as "the most accurate and trusted source for predicting sports outcomes straight-up and against-the-spread." So, based on their own description, you can take what follows with as large a grain of salt as you wish. Anyway, the site ran over 50,000 simulations of the 2015 season and found the Washington Nationals won the World Series the highest percentage of the time (16.4%). Next on the "champions" list were the Dodgers (11.7%), the Mariners (9.8%), the Cardinals (9.7%) and your own Carmine Hose (8.2%). The Red Sox, Nats, Dodgers, and Cardinals were the only teams to win their divisions more than 50% of the time. Along the way, the Red Sox defeat the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim in the Divisional round, but lose to the Mariners in the ALCS. Boston is projected to win 91 games—with their likelihood to reach the post-season set at 72.9%. For our money, we're taking it with a whole box of Diamond Crystal salt.