Friday, March 20, 2015

Baseball Prospectus: Sox Make Post-Season

The authoritative website has released its 2015 Playoff Odds Report and projects the Red Sox to make the post-season on 56.4% of its game simulation runs. Next to the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (67.4%), that's the second highest percentage of advancement to the playoffs in the American League. In fact, in all of MLB, only the Los Angeles Dodgers (89.9%), Washington Nationals (78.4%), St. Louis Cardinals (61.9%) and Angels have higher percentages of playoff advancement than the Red Sox. As the fifth most likely team to make the post-season, Boston is projected by BP to win 85.5 games—just enough to win the AL East over Tampa at 85.1 wins. The Bronx Embalmers sit in 20th place—advancing to the playoffs on just 22.4% of the simulations.